← MVP x DTR Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at MVP x DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.5%
avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
55.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1264
· median 1264
· range 1264–1264
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1209
Q3 1403
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 51.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.8% | +5.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
